Futurology : Go-all American monetarist with the clash of OPEC

  If one wants to include/understand the direction of the fall of the dollar and its during the rise of the course of the barrel of petrol, especially these nine last years, it is necessary to remember three essential things:
  One, the dollar has been the currency-key on a world level since 1945, i.e. for sixty three years. In spite of the vicissitudes, the financial crises and monetarists, this currency remains always the preferred standard of the agents and international investors.
 Two, the euro with fourteen nations is a recognized currency well that it does not yet completely have the statute of the American dollar. It remains that since its entry on the lists in 1999, it upset the international currencies reports/ratios.
  Three, the entry on the lists of China in the world commerce. An entry which proves threatening for the Western economy. Indeed, with a currency not - convertible the yuan or the reiminbi (rmb) indexed on the dollar in 1994-1995 after a devaluation of 35%, therefore a parity of combat yuan/incomparable dollar, gets in China in terms of exports of the considerable advantages and thus of the reserves in enormous exchanges. This parity been next to with the new European currency is quite simply likely to destabilize the financial sphere now globalized.
  Obviously we are not yet there, but as we will see it, the first steps are specified more and more like heralding a new paradigm to the planetary scales.
  It is clear that one cannot include/understand the course of the events of this beginning of millenium if one does not take into account the paradigmatic design of the recent evolution of the worldwide economy.  The question is thus to know what occurred and why this overlapping situation of three give with considerable consequences on the world plan. Who more east explains today this febrility of the great monetary or political authorities in the great international businesses.  
  In addition to the crisis stock exchange, financial, monetary, economic, and at the same time as the dollar crisis and its during the rise of the raw materials, which extends to the whole world, other more complex questions of a strategic nature like the occupation of Iraq, of Afghanistan, of the nuclear problem of Iran and very recently the problem of the creation of the Palestinian State at the sides of Israel which France poses with acuity, and finally the Mediterranean Union preached by this same France and whose contour was refitted under the pressure of Germany, challenge us to reflect what can in the light of the crisis occur in writing pad.

 

1. OIL.China, Europe and the United States in world imbalances

2. OIL.The conflict in the Middle East, a paradigm release

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